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The probability that a ticketless traveller is caught during a rip is 0.1. If the traveller makes 4 trips, the probability that he/she will be caught
Question

The probability that a ticketless traveller is caught during a rip is 0.1. If the traveller makes 4 trips, the probability that he/she will be caught during at least one of the trips is: 

A.

1(0.9)41-(0.9)^4​​

B.

(10.9)4(1-0.9)^4​​

C.

1(10.9)41-(1-0.9)^4​​

D.

(0.9)4(0.9)^4​​

Correct option is A

Given:

  • Probability of being caught in a single trip = 0.1
  • Number of trips = 4
  • We are to find the probability of being caught at least once in 4 trips

Concept Used:
"At least one" probability questions are often solved using the complement rule:
P(at least one success) = 1 - P(no success at all)

Here,

  • Success = getting caught
  • Failure = not getting caught = 1 - 0.1 = 0.9
  • Probability of not getting caught in all 4 trips = 0.94

Formula Used:
P(at least one caught) = 1 - (Probability of not being caught in any trip)

Solution:
P(not caught in 1 trip) = 0.9
P(not caught in 4 trips) = 0.9 × 0.9 × 0.9 × 0.9 = (0.9)4

So,
P(caught at least once) = 1 – (0.9)4 

Final Answer: 1 – (0.9)4

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