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An experiment succeeds twice as often as it fails. The probability that in the next six trials, there will be at least 4 successes, is:
Question

An experiment succeeds twice as often as it fails. The probability that in the next six trials, there will be at least 4 successes, is:

A.

​​​(23)4319\left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^4 \cdot \frac{31}{9} \\​​

B.

​​​(23)4289\left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^4 \cdot \frac{28}{9} \\​​

C.

​​​(23)5299\left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^5 \cdot \frac{29}{9} \\​​

D.

​​​1681139\frac{16}{81} \cdot \frac{13}{9} \\​​

Correct option is A

Solution:
p=23,q=13,n=6 P(X4)=P(4)+P(5)+P(6) =(64)p4q2+(65)p5q+(66)p6 =(23)4[159+129+49]= (23)4319p = \frac{2}{3}, \quad q = \frac{1}{3}, \quad n = 6 \\ \ \\P(X \geq 4) = P(4) + P(5) + P(6) \\ \ \\= \binom{6}{4} p^4 q^2 + \binom{6}{5} p^5 q + \binom{6}{6} p^6 \\ \ \\= \left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^4 \left[ \frac{15}{9} + \frac{12}{9} + \frac{4}{9} \right] =\\ \ \\ \left( \frac{2}{3} \right)^4 \cdot \frac{31}{9} \\​​

Correct answer is (a)

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