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As of March 2024, what does Morgan Stanley's research forecast for India's GDP growth rate in FY25?
Question

As of March 2024, what does Morgan Stanley's research forecast for India's GDP growth rate in FY25?

A.

6.8%

B.

2.4%

C.

0.9%

D.

12.5%

Correct option is A

As of March 2024, Morgan Stanley revised its forecast for India's GDP growth rate in the fiscal year 2024-2025 (FY25) to 6.8%, up from the previous estimate of 6.5%.

Key Factors Influencing the Revision:

  • Industrial and Capital Expenditure Activity: Continued traction in these sectors has been a significant driver for the upward revision.
  • Broad-Based Growth: Morgan Stanley anticipates that the growth will be widespread, with narrowing gaps between rural and urban consumption, as well as between private and public capital expenditure in FY25.
  • Favorable Inflation Trajectory: Recent trends indicate a moderation in headline inflation, with expectations for it to average 4.5% in FY25, down from 5.4% in FY24.

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